Wall Street puzzles over the U.S. economy’s resilience. This is despite aggressive rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. Some still expect a recession soon. But Steve Eisman is a senior portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman. He is optimistic about financial markets. He credits the strong economy to the AI boom and a surge in projects.
A dynamic economy powered by AI and infrastructure
Eisman is famous for his bet. It was against toxic mortgages before the Great Financial Crisis. He thinks the U.S. economy is more dynamic than ever. “We’re powering through,” he told CNBC. “The only conclusion you can reach is that the U.S. economy is more dynamic than it’s ever been in its history.”
The Next Tech Wave: AI-Enabled Devices
Eisman predicts the next tech stage. It will involve consumers buying new AI-enabled phones and laptops. Apple recently unveiled new AI features. We expect to see a big wave of customers upgrading their iPhones. Eisman advises investors to keep their Apple stock. He highlights the company’s key role in the AI story.
Core Holdings in the AI Race: Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet
Both Microsoft and Google’s parent company, Alphabet, are developing separate AI technologies. Eisman also sees them as core holdings. But, he makes an intriguing point. It’s about the future of software in a world dominated by AI. If AI succeeds as expected, software creation costs could plummet. This could hurt some companies’ advantages.
The Revaluation of Tech Hardware
Eisman suggests that tech hardware firms will keep thriving. They supply the AI sector. But, some software stocks may not do as well. Nvidia’s massive rally exemplifies this shift toward hardware stocks. We’ve seen shares of the AI chip leader soar 166% this year. They’re up over 200% from a year ago. The company is now worth $3 trillion. It makes up over a third of the S&P 500’s gains this year.
The Risks of High Concentration in NVIDIA
Nvidia’s performance is impressive. Yet, Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Sløk warns of the risks. They stem from dependence on one investment. “Such a high concentration implies that if Nvidia continues to rise, then it’s fine,” he wrote in a note. “If it starts to decline, then the S&P 500 will face a severe blow.”
Conclusion
In summary, Steve Eisman is optimistic about the U.S. economy and markets. The AI revolution and infrastructure growth drive him. Eisman advises holding onto key stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet. But, he also highlights the risks and changes in the tech sector. The AI race is ongoing. Investors must navigate the changing landscape with care and insight.